EDIT: Sorry, thought I was replying to someone else originally.

There have been recessions with less than two quarters of negative growth, it is not a requirement. The NBER uses a variety of indicators, there can be recessions lasting only a few months.

That's not actually the official definition. It's more complicated than that, and it's not the Fed but the National Bureau of Economic Research: https://www.nber.org/research/business-cycle-dating/business-cycle-dating-procedure-frequently-asked-questions

That isn't really the definition though. Real income can fall in a recession but it's not necessarily a recession just because incomes fell. Real income can increase or decrease both during a recession and not during a recession. It's a lot more complicated than "when your income declines there is a recession".

Assuming I am physically in the same place, I will fall to my death. If I somehow survive the fall I would be severely injured and alone in the wilderness. Within a few days I would probably die of either my injuries, dehydration, or hypothermia.

No. Haggling has zero appeal and makes me feel like an asshole. I want a set price that is predefined, and I want the purchase process to have minimal friction. I don't want to have to argue with someone when I buy things.

Rome

In the before times when we still had the rule of law, mandatory voting would almost certainly require an amendment to the constitution or else the Supreme Court would block it. Under current precedents the government generally can't compel political speech.

In the US there's a strain of Catholicism that is far-right and hyperpolitical, they hate the Pope and love Trump. Vance is a fairly recent convert who got into it thanks to Thiel.

If you're referring to our exchange, you either misunderstood me or are misrepresenting what I said. I said that the odds of rates going down are decreasing because of Trumps idiocy. The Fed are increasingly more likely to raise rates than lower rates, but if Trump forces rates down it's going to blow the whole thing up. The market is not going to like that at all because the Fed maintaining its independence is integral to the functioning of the US economy.

Breaking Bad. I made it part way through the first season before giving up. Everyone loves that show but I just couldn't enjoy it.

The paid version of chatgpt doesnt seem like that, it will tell you straight out that what Trump is doing is dictator shit if you talk to it about what's going on. Its also happy to tell you all about fighting dictators as long as you don't talk too directly about crime or violence. There is a hesitancy to apply any negative label to any group of people, which is an intentional safety feature. There's also a lot of variability in how it handles numbers so depending on how you do it you can get accurate numerical comparisons. LLMs generally suck with numbers though, you have to pay attention and do a lot of hand holding.

From what I read his parents owned a store that started getting extorted, which is why he fled El Salvador originally at 16 to live with relatives in the US. Whether he is or was in a gang or not in a gang is completely irrelevant to the fact that people have a right to due process. Maybe he does deserve to be deported, but what has been done to him is not a deportation. Also a changing administration does not have any relevance to the court decision allowing him to live in the US, unless you're suggesting the rule of law ended too? Until a judge says otherwise, he can not legally be deported to El Salvador. What has been done to him is a crime.

That makes a lot more sense, there was no mention of a stepmom when I read it.

It seems odd his mom is a sheriff given her criminal record. I would expect abducting a child to a foreign country would disqualify someone from law enforcement.

If that happens the economy will break and buying a house will become even more difficult rather than easier. There's no scenario where Trump seizing the Fed makes housing more affordable.

With the way Trump is fucking up the economy lower rates are looking increasingly unlikely. There's still two predicted for this year but the tariff chaos is pushing things in the wrong direction for them to safely lower rates and increasing the likelihood that rate increases will become necessary. If he forces rates down it will blow the whole thing up, the independence of the Fed is integral to maintaining faith in the US economy and Trump imposing artificially low rates will cause serious problems very quickly.

There's also accelerationists who can justify whatever if they convince themselves it will be a catalyst. I don't think its hard to imagine dumbass white supremacist believing that Trump getting assassinated would finally start their race war.

I feel like if you show up at a school and attempt to gain access to children via deception you should be arrested. You have to know what you are doing is wrong. It seems self-evident that it's inherently immoral and unethical behavior. Is it not a crime?

Not yet. There's really only lots of speculation, as far as I've seen none of the leaks have any details on the actual hardware. It's probably standalone with DP for hooking up to a PC. It might have the nice BOE 4k mOLED panels that are just hitting the market currently.

After the fall of the USSR he was a major funding source for anti-corruption and pro-democracy efforts that disempowered Russian interests in several countries. White supremacists sharing Russian propaganda back then is where the conspiracy theory started, at least in the US.