
The ongoing conflict in Ukraine has prompted the General Staff of the Armed Forces to implement significant personnel changes within the Territorial Recruitment…

Inventories was also most of that. Means less production in future quarters.
Goal of the sanctions was to fund US oil/lng extortion profits so that they could fund GOP and climate denial. PPP GDP is not really boosted by currency devaluation. Even if costs are stable in Rubles, the GDP is in USD, and Russia has had high inflation due to high military pay, and labour needing high wages as alternative to joining military.
Peter Retarddo's claim: Big imports ahead of tariffs beat down GDP, and he praised large investment growth.
The investment growth was largely inventories. Most of the imports go first to inventories, but a lot of the imports are in a bonded state, waiting for someone to pay the tariffs on them, or decide to ship them back. Generally, imports get subtracted from GDP, but are cancelled by inventories and eventual sales. Inventory growth is usually negative for future production/jobs.
Consumption did grow 1.8%, and it is a good estimate for stable growth. Except, in this case, consumption pulled forward from tariffs means lower levels next quarters, and bigger inflation adjustments downward.
https://www.bea.gov/news/2025/gross-domestic-product-1st-quarter-2025-advance-estimate
US has very corrupt GDP measurements, where high interest rates boost GDP calculation through the most corrupt component of Owner's equivalent Rent (about 14% of GDP). This is a made up non-transaction amount. Amazingly, US also adds "free financial services" as though a fair cost was charged into GDP.
Seems like they setup an empty shell corporation. It is ready for contributions. Unclear that Ukraine got anything, or US gave anything yet. Though maybe future mineral/resource licences get paid into this fund and US gets 50% of it even without giving anything.
Restriction against Russia is no good for limiting Ukraine's future under reaonable/peace governance, and Zelensky's constitutional authority to sign anything is expired.
Most voters are going to spend a couple of hours watching CBC, or at best, look at a summary of party platforms, and be told only about leader/party politics. No one is out teaching people how to vote under our system. Low information is a problem for democracy.
I don't know for sure, but under PR, 4 or 5 "presincts" around Kitchener would be amalgamated to select 4 or 5 members of parliament from the pool. I'm not positive if Greens would need 20-25% of vote for 1 seat across all of Kitchener, but it would be the Green that got the most votes that would get the seat. Someone around here knows more than me, but I don't know if there is a risk of party infighting if "the best they can hope for is x seats"
Even if you love PR more, there has to be some blame on the "idealists" for derailing RCV.
Ukraine will send TCC (Nazi kidnapping "recruiters") to front lines including its civilian staff.
The ongoing conflict in Ukraine has prompted the General Staff of the Armed Forces to implement significant personnel changes within the Territorial Recruitment…
They are also going to conscript those over 60, and Zelensky has threatened to terrorize Moscow's victory day parade with many invited dignitaries.
The announcement of seniors was after the TCC announcement, and so delay of TCC orders may be needed to kidnap the old people.
On Nov 20th, Goldman Sachs expected 2025 growth to be 2.5%, and had just a 15% chance of recession. Now recession is likely, and the most optimistic forecasts for the year are 1.1%-1.2%.
synergy between multiple, simultaneous ecological, energy and economic crises – what’s now fashionably called the ‘polycrisis’ – would, without systemic transformation, drive processes of state-militarisation and a shift to authoritarian control as incumbents seek to shore-up power and profits against the forces of disruption and destabilisation
This is the key to collapse. Incumbents is euphemism for oligarchy. Militarism and oil oligarchy/media always wins at democracy. When every other oligarch sides with them, then fascism is certain. Biden was most zionist neocon warmongering democrat chosen to replace the disaster of Trump 45. Biden's very slight pushback against the rich, was enough to get the rabid anti trans/immigrant fan base to go dedicated oligarchy, and money+media BSing people into Trump being better for economy. The Ukraine war is what lost it for Harris/Biden. Israel genocide was just more proof that US empire is complete piece of shit and not worth saving, but oil enrichment from Ukraine war, and extreme pushback they could fund against any human sustainability, combined with left being all in on war on Russia, for the mosts oil oligarchy enrichment, and inflation complaints, DNC all in on most zionist candidate, and the end was sealed.
That all human and national sustainability can never be prioritized over war means democracy can never achieve it. Pillaging the country into collapse always has a profit model. Human and national sustainability as a Maslow's hierarchy relevant concern, must be derailed if it means avoiding any constraints on US oligarchy, or for US empire colonies, constraints on US empire sycophancy.
There is never a possibility of a good outcome from democracy. Either things get worse, or progress threatens all of the oligarchy to make sure things feel worse so that worst candidate gets elected. Trump falling out of a window, or being put in military jail waiting trials would have been better for progress and dare I say democracy itself. Nationalizing major oil companies with 0 compensation to shareholders would have put oligarchy in check, and eliminate their lobbying power. SCOTUS saying that money is speech means that money is terrorism and traitrous disinformation advancing money's interests.
While non CIA devoted democracies and other nations that have been collectively called authoritarian have done better than US colonies economically over the last 15 years, with leadership from Russia, China, and India, that doesn't mean it is the perfect governance to aspire to.
Liquid democracy is oligarchy proof. Freedom dividends/UBI disempowers the state while achieving high growth in prosperity. Corruption of information/media, and the interests of evil make people who can't understand what is BS, fall for it, and vote for collapse, and accept game being rigged for it.
To get $2/kg 300 bar H2, $500/kw electrolyzer capital costs, and 2c/kwh electricity input costs are needed. China is pushing down to $300/kw on electrolyzer costs. Just as seasonal negative prices happen in some locations, stabilizing to 2c/kwh is the path H2 enables. $2/kg H2 means 6c/kwh CHP power cost from Fuel Cell, and 10c/kwh electric only power output. Competitive with electric utility service, and fast charging vehicle stations. It's competitive at $4/kg in many jurisdictions, in fact.
Factories already operate mostly daytime. Solar output is seasonal with more variability the further from equator you go. Having solar cover 100% of summer cloudy day generation at low AC use, can result in 2c/kwh or less prices on sunny days, and in Spring and fall where there is no HVAC demand. Running FF electricity just in winter/backup is path to significantly lower emissions, and lower cost of FF energy from less use. Factories with long shifts running half on solar is still low overall energy input costs, if they can sell what they make.
H2 storage is a solved problem. Lined pipe and pressure vessels. If factories are ever automated to the point where labour cost is nearly irrelevant compared to energy costs, then they too can become variable loads. H2 electrolysis and desalination and battery charging are all highly automated processes that benefit from those conditions today.
The forever advantage of green H2 production is that it is containerizable. Can be transported seasonally to where renewable surpluses will occur. I guess self mobile robots could do the same, though.
home units are still restricted
LFP batteries are the right home solution (Sodium Ion soon enough). US is tariff/capacity/policy restricted. Utility monopoly restricted if you want to export to grid, or use your EV as V2G. Utilities are also protected from off grid choices, and are changing their pricing with extortive fixed portions of utility bills. Biodiesel is not a sustainable (worse than ethanol if produced intentionally) solution.
PP gone forever? Or is CPC somehow going to give him another seat so he can stay leader?
AFAIU, it doesn't change the PH neutrality.
I understand that they self combine/react again? But is that reaction still water?
report that Trump called Bezos, and Amazon has backed down. Dictator scaring everyone.
Amazon should show the tariff price component, so that consumers can choose the awesome US made alternative instead of the Chinese one even they are the same price. It informs consumers that want to buy American
H2O is neutral PH, and so answer is no. But then water tends to have a bunch of shit disolved in it. So answer is yes.
A self-contradicting proposition based on ambiguity of definition of water, of all things. This statement can be used to make HAL explode.
provisionally useful in the same way as a standby generator (though the generator is going to be far more eco friendly than the batteries over their respective lifetimes)
A generator can provide backup power for unlimited time if fuel is available, but it is highest cost power in the world. Batteries can be charged/discharged every day, displacing dirty energy. A generator is either rarely used or eco destructive.
You can’t store all that energy in summer because you got fuck all to do with it.
Main value of H2 electrolysis is solving (more economic return from renewables than just curtailing) this problem. Also provides exportable energy to cover winter clean power/heat needs.
I don't like using the term capitalism because it is too vague. Political corruption protecting oligarchy/big corporations is the problem.
Inflation resulting from start of full war on Russia and resulting oil/diesel price spike forced the wrong policy of higher interest rates. The theory in the past is that increasing austerity on consumers reduce their driving, and preventing business investment also reduces expanded demand for scarce FFs.
In the dynamics of energy disruption, high interest rates are the biggest cost obstacle for renewables and less new renewables is more oil/FF extortion power. At 2000 sun hours/year, $1/watt solar installation, could get a 16 year payback = 100% overall profit at 3c/kwh price. 2c/kwh at 3000 sun hours/year. Every 2% in interest costs, increases required price by 1c/kwh.
Protection of existing assets/supply scarcity is not affected by higher interest rates. New oil wells do have a big upfront cost, but they also have a huge power and maintenance requirement that is paid for with the product taken out of the ground, with ROI protections if renewables can be suppressed, including with high interest rates.
Political corruption favouring scarcity over abundance is the problem. Cheap energy or steel is a huge competitive and life quality advantage. Use cheap inputs for more productivity and happier life with cheaper cost.
A big flaw in German energy policy that has done a great job in expanding renewables, includes not giving its industry variable rates, that lets them invest in batteries, and schedule production more seasonally, or if they have reduced demand due to high product prices from high energy costs, just have work on the good days.
Using EVs as grid balancers can be an extra profit center for EV owners with or without home solar. Ultra cheap retail daytime rates is the best path to demand shifting. Home solar best path to removing transmission bottlenecks for other customers. Containerized batteries and hydrogen electrolysis as a service is a tariff exempt path at moving storage/surplus management throughout the world for seasonal variations, but significantly expanding renewables capacity without risking negative pricing, and making evening/night energy cheaper to boot.
Lee Zeldin and other officials whom the president tasked in January with undoing the finding could raise questions about whether a sector — or even the whole country — contributes enough climate pollution globally to warrant regulation.
This is pretty ridiculous. A fairly big hole in the global rowboat could be smaller than all of the other holes in the boat, and we have a right to force the boat to sink. The counter argument can still lead to less "itemized regulation". Each ton of emissions has a specific cost, letting industry figure out how to minimize taxes based on emissions, and applying it globally. Paying carbon tax revenue as dividend to citizen residents lets them afford the same stuff produced the same with carbon tax added, even if untaxed product is either more attractive to consumer or more profitable to producer.
the administration may take aim at the cost increases that regulations have on energy and other pillars of Americans’ lives
On another administration evil craziness, USDA will stop inspecting chicken for salmonela and avian flu. The cost of regulations is salaries for more local jobs for inspection and compliance. Where a regulation is useful, it boosts GDP in a useful manner. Just as death and illness from chicken poisoning has "misery costs and some productivity costs", global warming has far higher costs that impact property values and national wealth. High insurance rates are a big tax on property values that directly reduce them. High financialization rates, the ease of getting relatively cheap mortgages, is the main reason that western property values are high, and ease of insurance is key to economic financialization levels.
While doubling down to protect dead ender energy oligarchs to help extort Americans/world on higher cost energy, protects their assets for a few extra months/years, its yet another socialization of costs for private extortion gains. Where (unlike bank bailouts) the social costs are orders of magnitude higher than the private gains. Energy disruption is also job gains. Higher insurance rates or Banks declining more mortgages is not job gains. Rebuilding a house every few years is equivalent to digging a hole and refilling it instead of doing something useful to society.
US Q2 Treasury borrowing estimate soars to $514 billion- 4 times more than February estimate
Big jump in borrowing estimate
Cash on hand at end of Q1 (not in link) was reportedly half of what was forecast in last statement. $400B instead of $800B
US Debt screaming higher.
Bessent today: China must de-escalate trade war first because we buy 5 times more than they do.
The comments come with markets on edge over the direction of tariffs.
US exports are 2% of China GDP. It is likely to have higher GDP growth than US this year, while the US has shortages of things it cannot quickly replace. LNG, agriculture, aeroplances are easy to replace for China. Humiliating US has more value, than figuring out what they can boost 2% of GDP on.
Is war on China coming? The US military is seriously preparing
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TIL: violently mentally ill are allowed to own heavy murder SUVs and divers licenses, and aren't immediately charged after murdering 11 people and counting.
A New Great Power Balance: The Real Goal Of Washington Madness
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Witkoff being both an envoy to Russia and Israel/Iran "peace" makes it certain that US seeks a link between the 2: Get Russia to back off on Iran support.
The peace deal that Russia supposedly has agreed to, is far short of their objectives, and peace. No demilitarization of Ukraine (or mutual demilitarization), and no denazification, or agreement to not rearm Ukraine for further nazi evil. Tolerance for Zelensky still exists, including repeating lies on easter ceasefire.
This won't stop the deranged from claiming that Trump is a Putin puppet, as the distraction from Trump is an admitted Netanyahu/Adelson puppet.
Listen to a reading of this article (reading by Tim Foley):
Listen to a reading of this article (reading by Tim Foley):
Trump: The US is a giant beautiful department store!!!!
Unfortunately it only sells Agriculture, Fossil fuels, airplanes, and war. Plenty of other stores for the first 3. Trump is "setting the price" like its 1999, as if everyone needs Bloomingdales.
Report on 12kT pork import cancellation by China from US is that it was already paid for and mid transit.
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Couldn't find bloomberg or Reuters source. Implication is harm to US producers by having oversupply situation, from both return of pork and no new orders.
Brazil and Spain exports to China surged, and look like a structural shift for US industry decline.
Golden Dome: a $2.5T US defense project that Musk could help with. -- so much for deficit reduction.
Golden Dome Missile Defense: Elon Musks Role in Trumps $2.5 Trillion Project: The Golden Dome missile defense project, led by Donald Trump, could see SpaceX, Palantir, and Anduril collaborating to defend the U.S. against missile threats. With global defense spending on the rise, Musks involvement is...
Officials said Japan doesn’t want to get caught up in any US effort to maximise trade pressure on China. Read more at straitstimes.com. Read more at straitstimes.com.
Japan is weakest nation in world due to export reliance and high debt to GDP. Like all nations, exports to China are close to or larger than exports to US, and a US depression and extortionist attitude will reduce US attractiveness.
Any success for US empire diminishment of China requires its colonies to fully and unanimously commit to the empire's evil.
Sides too far apart is OP claim. Real causes for failure:
Demonic European evil in support of collapse.
Objective and Russian reality is that US provoked Ukraine war through coup and nazi puppetry. That Europe needs to double down on its propaganda support for US war, is a function of CIA controlled democracy that created EU leaders, and so consistency in evil even as US directly threatens EU, and a preference for misery, social austerity, and collapse provides a reason for Europeans to support their rulers tyranny/championing for war on Russia. The Europeans are already fully programmed for CIA agenda.
Peace in Ukraine requires Ukrainian demilitarization and denazification. The obvious demand to make of Russia is to also demilitarize. Instead of Russophobia and warmongering that continues to see Russia outproduce the entire west militarily, and over double Europe, EU could focus on useful production and prosperity.
In fact, the path to destabilizing Russia, is through peace
US Plays “Mediator” in its Own War on Russia
quote:
Russia, for its part, has left the door open for honest negotiations and has provided the United States ample exit ramps from both an unwinnable proxy war and indefinite confrontation with Russia into the future. The US is obviously not interested. Russia had, throughout “peace talks” with the US, continued its war of attrition against Ukrainian forces, continuing the process the New York Times describes as the central contributing factor for the proxy war’s current failure. The real question that remains is whether or not Russia can continue this process at a faster and more effective rate than the US and Europe can continue “donating more ammunition and equipment” to Ukraine while attempting to expand their “defense industrial bases.” Only time will tell for sure.
As Syria has demonstrated, a proxy war the US has lost one moment can be frozen, revisited, and eventually won if it is able to overextend designated adversaries like Russia and Iran for long enough and extensively
'America Can't Defeat Russia': Jeffrey Sachs REVEALS SECRET Putin-Trump Ukraine Deal | N18G
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US administration reported to be aimless in Japan trade negotiations
Tokyo first in line for negotiations that will be closely watched as test case of Washington’s trade war strategy
https://v.redd.it/84hevtang4we1
There is no news/public demands from white house. Everything appears to just setup Trump to declare victory no matter what is achieved. Similar to 10 contradicting objectives of tariffs themselves.
Germany reviving Hitler’s great power politics and are again waging war against Russia. - banning participation in ww2 commemoration ceremonies.
The German government and Analena Baerbock’s Foreign Ministry are excluding Russia from the commemoration because they are reviving Hitler’s great power politics and waging war on Russia.
Ukraine says it has signed the outline of a minerals deal with the U.S. "Substantially the same extortive conditions originally demanded"
Ukraine said Thursday that it had signed the basis of a minerals deal with the U.S., although the details of the agreement are yet to be announced.
A record surge of clean energy kept China’s carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions below the previous...
emissions down in last 10 months of 2024. Very likely that trailing 12 months are down too (not covered in article, but something they will pick up)
China deploys 277.57 GW of solar in 2024 - 2025 roadmap/projections
China installed 277.57 GW of solar in 2024, up 28.3% from 2023 and bringing total capacity to 887 GW., according to the China Photovoltaic Industry Association (CPIA).
28% growth over 2023. Forecast for 2025 is 215-250GW, down, but original forecast from same agency/report for 2024 was only 220GW (achieved 26%+ higher than target). March 2025 report shows 42% increase in solar capacity (or production actually) over last year, at end of February. 930gw. 33gw in 2 months is behind forecast on linear basis, but this is slow period, traditionally . Production can go up higher than capacity if it was sunnier than last year.
Solar module output expanded 13.5% to 588 GW. Forecast for 2025 is up to 583gw. It exported 235gw of solar panels. up 13% in 2024. Europe was down for the year, but up in last quarter. https://www.infolink-group.com/energy-article/solar-topic-china-pv-module-exports-yoy-growth-all-regions-except-europe
500gw per year is enough to match double Germany's annual electricity production. Not that Germany isn't already a leader in renewables, but just that it is a significant permanent displacement of fossil fuel electricity, and