this is literally TikTok manifestation but for geopolitics. if we keep saying that something is true, it has to become true, even as we feed the next wave of Israeli soldiers in to take selfies 500 feet away from a border village and get obliterated by Hezbollah rockets. it's always worked for us before, why wouldn't it work now?
trying to manufacture alternative realities only really works if you have a decent chance of, y'know, winning, and therefore stand a chance in the future of creating those alternative realities that you've been establishing via propaganda. there is nothing that Israel could do short of carpet bombing southern Lebanon with nukes that would meaningfully degrade Hezbollah. it is simply too deeply embedded, both literally (miles of tunnels underground), socially, economically, and politically. taking out Nasrallah and the subsequent bombings since then have taken Hezbollah from 100% strength to like, 99.5% strength. Hamas is still very much intact and still killing Zionists after a year of war and they are almost entirely shut off from the world; Hezbollah can keep going as long as there's a border to smuggle goods across, and it is impossible for Israel to totally occupy Lebanon. they can barely occupy a small village.
this leads me to believe that the Israeli strategy will be to eventually withdraw and stop trying after taking colossal losses, then in the classic Israeli fashion, declare victory and say that Hezbollah has been destroyed, but I'm unsure what the point of that will be when the missiles keep firing over the border and settlers are still unable to return to the north because Hezbollah will still be 95% intact.