Nate Silver Says Harris Now Has Slight Advantage Over Trump

www.thedailybeast.com Nate Silver Says Harris Now Has Slight Advantage Over Trump

Harris has now taken a slight lead against Trump ahead of the presidential election in November, according to data published by Silver’s Substack on Sunday.

https://12ft.io/https://www.thedailybeast.com/nate-silver-says-election-is-now-a-toss-up-as-harris-takes-polling-lead?ref=home?ref=home

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I thought everyone hated and didnt trust Nate Silver? Or was that because of cult of personality politics?
- Don’t trust polls or pundits. Just get out and vote…
  
  I plan on voting, but it won't be for the red fascist or blue fascist.
  
  Well I’m sure the trans people who would be forced to detransition, the climate refugees forced to flee their homes, the women forced into dangerous pregnancies, the Palestinians who will receive even less support from the US, and the people of Ukraine forced to live under Russian occupation without our support will obviously agree that it’s most important for you to have a clear conscience here.
  
  Nice cherry picked hyperbole list you got there. Too bad your party leaders don't give a fuck about those things either.
  
  Hyperbole list? Every one of these things is a stated objective of the trump campaign or is literally already happening.
  If you truly can’t see daylight between the republicans and the democrats, you need to:
  appreciate the privilege you have, that you apparently aren’t staring down the barrel of their guns yet
  touch grass, take a break from politics for awhile
  when you come back, look at voting records and their actual impacts on actual people. Read the stories of women forced to miscarry in ER bathrooms as a direct result of what the republicans have done in this country. Read about how republicans stalling aid to Ukraine impacted the war. Read about the 6-3 rulings coming out of the Supreme Court lately, and look at who appointed the 6.
  
  Hate to break this to you, but it's pretty much guaranteed one of those two options will win. The voting system sucks but it is what we have.
  
  Okay, still not voting for either one of them. If people would refuse to keep participating in their own subjugation, shit might change
  
  Bad news, buddy: you won't have to participate in your own subjugation. You will be subjugated, whether you choose to be or not.
  The idea that you can change the system by not voting just means that you're going to be irrelevant to whoever does win.
  
  One side is doing insurrections, promising to be a dictator, promising that this year will be the last vote. "Better throw my ballot in the garbage in exchange for zero EC votes."
- Silver has increasingly followed the money and begun leaning further and further to the right
  
  His politics have moved to the right but I haven’t seen any evidence it’s affecting his predictions yet. We’ll see.
  
  If his predictions start landing consistently to the right of reality then that's just another data point. The modelling world is fun like that.

25 comments